Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003875 0.004240 0.004632 0.005084 0.005592 0.006147 0.006803
2025-11-23 0.003195 0.003693 0.004265 0.004975 0.005839 0.006864 0.008186
2025-11-30 0.002869 0.003441 0.004129 0.005026 0.006182 0.007639 0.009650
2025-12-07 0.002683 0.003315 0.004105 0.005181 0.006634 0.008566 0.011396
2025-12-14 0.002450 0.003098 0.003933 0.005109 0.006760 0.009052 0.012583
2025-12-21 0.002246 0.002896 0.003755 0.005000 0.006808 0.009416 0.013620
2025-12-28 0.002093 0.002748 0.003632 0.004950 0.006923 0.009875 0.014845
2026-01-04 0.001990 0.002656 0.003578 0.004986 0.007161 0.010534 0.016471
2026-01-11 0.001868 0.002530 0.003462 0.004918 0.007228 0.010924 0.017692
2026-01-18 0.001768 0.002426 0.003369 0.004875 0.007324 0.011365 0.019055
2026-01-25 0.001672 0.002323 0.003271 0.004812 0.007379 0.011737 0.020337
2026-02-01 0.001609 0.002262 0.003231 0.004837 0.007579 0.012376 0.022224
2026-02-08 0.001527 0.002173 0.003145 0.004789 0.007664 0.012844 0.023906
2026-02-15 0.001438 0.002069 0.003032 0.004689 0.007649 0.013133 0.025283
2026-02-22 0.001391 0.002024 0.003008 0.004736 0.007903 0.013963 0.027994
2026-03-01 0.001366 0.002015 0.003040 0.004880 0.008349 0.015228 0.031971
2026-03-08 0.001302 0.001938 0.002957 0.004813 0.008384 0.015655 0.034023
2026-03-15 0.001237 0.001856 0.002859 0.004712 0.008343 0.015913 0.035696
2026-03-22 0.001186 0.001796 0.002793 0.004665 0.008404 0.016400 0.038085
2026-03-29 0.001153 0.001762 0.002772 0.004699 0.008631 0.017290 0.041796
2026-04-05 0.001106 0.001703 0.002703 0.004636 0.008651 0.017700 0.044226
2026-04-12 0.001066 0.001653 0.002648 0.004596 0.008714 0.018223 0.047132
2026-04-19 0.001025 0.001601 0.002586 0.004537 0.008732 0.018636 0.049802